Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.921979 3.085587 3.256938 3.450384 3.663441 3.891780 4.156132
2025-10-26 2.656021 2.889865 3.147400 3.454521 3.814122 4.226093 4.740129
2025-11-02 2.461519 2.729496 3.034344 3.411438 3.872112 4.425974 5.157565
2025-11-09 2.299843 2.585470 2.918204 3.341253 3.875268 4.542458 5.466278
2025-11-16 2.182292 2.481546 2.837183 3.300124 3.901501 4.679283 5.804514
2025-11-23 2.111436 2.427169 2.809625 3.319012 3.999853 4.911965 6.293855
2025-11-30 2.045929 2.374056 2.778200 3.327512 4.080861 5.123539 6.774506
2025-12-07 1.948445 2.275208 2.682216 3.243138 4.026260 5.135409 6.948847
2025-12-14 1.868449 2.194554 2.605009 3.178099 3.991918 5.170516 7.159619
2025-12-21 1.814581 2.144689 2.564901 3.160013 4.021118 5.299818 7.538143
2025-12-28 1.764898 2.097897 2.526185 3.140748 4.045739 5.421996 7.918493
2026-01-04 1.734736 2.075162 2.518078 3.163114 4.132237 5.647463 8.515851
2026-01-11 1.706448 2.054936 2.513882 3.192895 4.235446 5.916121 9.256184
2026-01-18 1.671429 2.024440 2.494311 3.199252 4.302886 6.132565 9.939906
2026-01-25 1.624172 1.975534 2.446868 3.161344 4.296329 6.218564 10.365390
2026-02-01 1.572127 1.918352 2.385548 3.099360 4.246095 6.220852 10.605466
2026-02-08 1.531354 1.875338 2.342620 3.062987 4.235241 6.293334 11.021749
2026-02-15 1.509492 1.857624 2.334866 3.079695 4.313603 6.539805 11.914566
2026-02-22 1.486117 1.836942 2.321855 3.087212 4.376233 6.762319 12.808249
2026-03-01 1.439771 1.782768 2.258418 3.012534 4.291099 6.682730 12.866265
2026-03-08 1.400512 1.737652 2.206948 2.954870 4.232783 6.652712 13.061587
2026-03-15 1.375101 1.711416 2.182300 2.938819 4.247116 6.772983 13.726547
2026-03-22 1.350580 1.685794 2.157718 2.921713 4.258248 6.887374 14.409085